2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-08 · 19:30
12.3939.4%
X3.2529.0%
22.9731.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Heidenheim
DWWWWWDWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
St Pauli
DLLLLDWWWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
3.10
Scored
1.70
1.30
Conceded
1.50
80%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
2.20
1H goals
1.80
2.20
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
5.50N=10
3.10
Against
3.70
8.40
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
3.10
Goals scored
1.70
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
4.40
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Heidenheim attack
3.10goals per matchSt Pauli conceded1.50Matchup
St Pauli attack
1.70goals per matchHeidenheim conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.70
1H goals scored
1.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
3.10
Corners against
3.70
8.40
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.00
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
21.10
Match total
19.70
Shots
14.90N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
6.10
On target
4.80
21%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches540
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.4%40.0%+0.6 pp
Draw29.0%29.6%+0.7 pp
Away31.7%30.4%-1.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS52.8%
Historical average
1.42–1.20
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.5%
1-010.0%
0-19.4%
2-18.5%
0-08.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.30–4.80
Average total10.10
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=540.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.555.7%
Over 10.542.8%
Over 11.532.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches181
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.2%22.1%–35.1% CI
Draw FT39.8%32.9%–47.1% CI
Away FT32.0%25.7%–39.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.7%
2+ goals40.3%
3+ goals13.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home49.7%
Away51.4%