2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-08 · 19:30
12.3939.4%
X3.2529.0%
22.9731.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heidenheim
DWWWWWDWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
St Pauli
DLLLLDWWWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

3.10
Scored
1.70
1.30
Conceded
1.50
80%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.20
1H goals
1.80
2.20
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
5.50N=10
3.10
Against
3.70
8.40
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.10
Goals scored
1.70
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
4.40
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Heidenheim attack

3.10goals per match
St Pauli conceded1.50
Matchup

St Pauli attack

1.70goals per match
Heidenheim conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.70
1H goals scored
1.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
3.10
Corners against
3.70
8.40
Match total
9.20
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.00
Match total
4.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
21.10
Match total
19.70

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
6.10
On target
4.80
21%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches540
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.4%40.0%+0.6 pp
Draw29.0%29.6%+0.7 pp
Away31.7%30.4%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS52.8%

Historical average

1.421.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.5%
1-010.0%
0-19.4%
2-18.5%
0-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.304.80
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=540.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.555.7%
Over 10.542.8%
Over 11.532.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches181
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.2%22.1%–35.1% CI
Draw FT39.8%32.9%–47.1% CI
Away FT32.0%25.7%–39.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.7%
2+ goals40.3%
3+ goals13.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.7%
Away51.4%