2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-03-31 · 17:30
12.4139.1%
X3.6925.5%
22.6635.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fortuna Dusseldorf
WWWLWLWWWD
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Hamburg
WWWLWLWDDL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.80
0.90
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.60
1.80
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.30
Against
5.40
9.20
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.70
3.10
Total goals
3.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Fortuna Dusseldorf attack

2.20goals per match
Hamburg conceded1.70
Matchup

Hamburg attack

1.80goals per match
Fortuna Dusseldorf conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.40
9.20
Match total
9.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.90
Match total
5.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
23.90
Match total
22.80

Shots

16.70N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
6.60
On target
4.80
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches37
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.1%54.1%+15.0 pp
Draw25.5%8.1%-17.4 pp
Away35.4%37.8%+2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.567.6%
Over 3.540.5%
BTTS59.5%

Historical average

1.731.46

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-010.8%
2-110.8%
1-210.8%
2-08.1%
3-28.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.386.00
Average total11.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=37.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.4%
Over 9.570.3%
Over 10.567.6%
Over 11.548.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Draw FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI
Away FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal93.3%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.3%
Away60.0%