2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 12:00
13.0630.7%
X3.4527.2%
22.2342.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Regensburg
LDWDWLDLDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Paderborn
DLWDLLWWDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.30
1.80
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.30
Against
6.50
9.70
Total
10.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.30
1.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.70
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Regensburg attack
0.90goals per matchPaderborn conceded1.30Matchup
Paderborn attack
1.30goals per matchRegensburg conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.50
9.70
Match total
10.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.60
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.40N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
25.80
Match total
21.50
Shots
12.00N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
3.80
On target
4.00
8%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches363
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.7%26.4%-4.2 pp
Draw27.2%28.7%+1.4 pp
Away42.1%44.9%+2.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.530.0%
BTTS55.9%
Historical average
1.18–1.59
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.4%
0-29.6%
1-29.1%
0-18.3%
0-07.2%
Comparable corner averages
4.69–5.31
Average total10.01
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=363.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.2%
Over 9.555.9%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.530.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches86
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.4%10.9%–26.8% CI
Draw FT44.2%34.2%–54.7% CI
Away FT38.4%28.8%–48.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.8%
2+ goals43.0%
3+ goals14.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home33.7%
Away59.3%