2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 12:00
11.7254.7%
X4.1023.0%
24.2222.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hamburg
LWWDLWWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Holstein Kiel
LDLWDWDLWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.70
1.20
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.70
2.10
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
5.60N=10
3.80
Against
6.00
9.90
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.70
1.20
Goals conceded
2.00
3.50
Total goals
3.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Hamburg attack

2.30goals per match
Holstein Kiel conceded2.00
Matchup

Holstein Kiel attack

1.70goals per match
Hamburg conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.00
9.90
Match total
11.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.70
Match total
4.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
23.70
Match total
19.60

Shots

17.10N=10
Shots
15.20N=10
6.60
On target
5.20
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches85
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.7%60.0%+5.3 pp
Draw23.0%20.0%-3.0 pp
Away22.3%20.0%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.562.4%
Over 3.537.6%
BTTS64.7%

Historical average

1.961.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.1%
1-110.6%
2-010.6%
1-09.4%
1-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.934.38
Average total10.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=85.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.2%
Over 9.556.5%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.531.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.4%24.6%–66.3% CI
Draw FT38.9%20.3%–61.4% CI
Away FT16.7%5.8%–39.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.94

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals61.1%
3+ goals27.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.2%
Away61.1%