Serie A · 2024/25
2025-04-13 · 14:00
12.9831.9%
X2.9132.7%
22.6835.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Verona
WLLLDLLWLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Genoa
WDWDLLDLDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
0.80
2.20
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.00
1H goals
0.80
0.80
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.00
Against
5.10
8.30
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.80
2.20
Goals conceded
1.00
2.80
Total goals
1.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Verona attack

0.60goals per match
Genoa conceded1.00
Matchup

Genoa attack

0.80goals per match
Verona conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
1.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.10
8.30
Match total
9.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.10
Match total
3.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

15.30N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
25.20
Match total
25.40

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
2.80
On target
2.60
6%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches213
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.9%29.6%-2.3 pp
Draw32.7%35.2%+2.6 pp
Away35.5%35.2%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.532.9%
Over 3.513.1%
BTTS40.8%

Historical average

0.941.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-016.0%
1-113.6%
1-010.8%
1-29.9%
0-19.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.174.41
Average total8.58

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=213.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.547.9%
Over 9.535.7%
Over 10.525.8%
Over 11.519.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches94
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.7%19.6%–37.4% CI
Draw FT46.8%37.0%–56.8% CI
Away FT25.5%17.8%–35.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.8%
2+ goals35.1%
3+ goals9.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.6%
Away37.2%