2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-03-17 · 17:30
12.1943.0%
X3.3428.2%
23.2828.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heidenheim
WDWWWWWDWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Karlsruhe
DWLLWLLDWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.80
Scored
1.60
1.20
Conceded
0.90
80%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.10
2.10
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.40
Against
5.30
9.10
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.80
Goals scored
1.60
1.20
Goals conceded
0.90
4.00
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Heidenheim attack

2.80goals per match
Karlsruhe conceded0.90
Matchup

Karlsruhe attack

1.60goals per match
Heidenheim conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.30
9.10
Match total
9.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.20
Match total
3.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
21.50
Match total
22.70

Shots

15.00N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
5.60
On target
5.00
19%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches676
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.0%44.5%+1.5 pp
Draw28.2%27.5%-0.7 pp
Away28.7%28.0%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.527.7%
BTTS52.1%

Historical average

1.501.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.4%
1-011.5%
2-19.0%
0-08.4%
0-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.634.38
Average total10.01

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=676.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.529.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches212
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.3%30.1%–43.0% CI
Draw FT38.7%32.4%–45.4% CI
Away FT25.0%19.7%–31.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals34.4%
3+ goals12.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.8%
Away41.5%