2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-03-17 · 17:30
12.1444.0%
X3.2529.0%
23.4927.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bielefeld
WWLWLWLLLW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Nurnberg
WLLLWDDLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.60
1.40
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.30
2.40
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.70
Against
5.70
10.00
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.60
1.40
Goals conceded
2.00
3.40
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Bielefeld attack

2.00goals per match
Nurnberg conceded2.00
Matchup

Nurnberg attack

0.60goals per match
Bielefeld conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.30
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.70
10.00
Match total
10.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.60
Match total
4.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
21.00
Match total
25.30

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
5.30
On target
3.80
14%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches762
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.0%42.4%-1.6 pp
Draw29.0%31.1%+2.1 pp
Away27.0%26.5%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.523.1%
BTTS52.9%

Historical average

1.351.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
1-013.0%
2-19.6%
0-08.8%
0-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.154.33
Average total9.48

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=761.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.2%
Over 9.547.7%
Over 10.535.1%
Over 11.525.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches254
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT38.6%32.8%–44.7% CI
Draw FT40.6%34.7%–46.7% CI
Away FT20.9%16.3%–26.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.6%
2+ goals36.6%
3+ goals12.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.5%
Away41.7%