2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-03-12 · 12:30
11.7055.2%
X3.9323.9%
24.5020.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Holstein Kiel
WWLDWLDWLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Regensburg
LLLLWLLLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.90N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.70
Against
5.30
11.60
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
2.10
3.00
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Holstein Kiel attack
1.70goals per matchRegensburg conceded2.10Matchup
Regensburg attack
0.80goals per matchHolstein Kiel conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.30
11.60
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.50
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.90N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
21.90
Match total
25.90
Shots
16.90N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
6.00
On target
3.70
10%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches258
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.2%60.9%+5.6 pp
Draw23.9%20.9%-3.0 pp
Away20.9%18.2%-2.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.562.4%
Over 3.532.9%
BTTS57.4%
Historical average
1.91–1.06
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-113.6%
1-010.9%
2-09.3%
1-18.9%
3-18.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.02–3.93
Average total9.95
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=258.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.1%
Over 9.549.6%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.527.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches65
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.8%38.9%–62.5% CI
Draw FT32.3%22.2%–44.4% CI
Away FT16.9%9.7%–27.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.86
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals30.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home73.8%
Away50.8%