2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-03-12 · 12:30
11.7055.2%
X3.9323.9%
24.5020.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Holstein Kiel
WWLDWLDWLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Regensburg
LLLLWLLLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.70
Against
5.30
11.60
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
2.10
3.00
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Holstein Kiel attack

1.70goals per match
Regensburg conceded2.10
Matchup

Regensburg attack

0.80goals per match
Holstein Kiel conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.30
11.60
Match total
9.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.50
Match total
4.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
21.90
Match total
25.90

Shots

16.90N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
6.00
On target
3.70
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches258
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.2%60.9%+5.6 pp
Draw23.9%20.9%-3.0 pp
Away20.9%18.2%-2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.562.4%
Over 3.532.9%
BTTS57.4%

Historical average

1.911.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.6%
1-010.9%
2-09.3%
1-18.9%
3-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.023.93
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=258.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.1%
Over 9.549.6%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.527.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches65
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.8%38.9%–62.5% CI
Draw FT32.3%22.2%–44.4% CI
Away FT16.9%9.7%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.86

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.8%
Away50.8%