Serie A · 2024/25
2025-04-13 · 14:00
11.7155.6%
X3.7425.4%
24.9919.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
WLLDWWLWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Parma
WLLDLLLLDD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.70
0.90
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.80
1.10
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.90
Against
6.70
8.00
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.70
0.90
Goals conceded
1.70
2.20
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.30goals per match
Parma conceded1.70
Matchup

Parma attack

0.70goals per match
Fiorentina conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.70
8.00
Match total
11.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.10
Match total
3.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
9.20N=10
26.90
Match total
20.60

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
3.90
On target
3.10
12%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches691
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.6%59.2%+3.6 pp
Draw25.4%21.9%-3.6 pp
Away19.0%19.0%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.525.5%
BTTS50.7%

Historical average

1.730.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.9%
2-113.3%
2-011.1%
1-19.8%
0-15.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.003.95
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=691.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.552.1%
Over 10.539.9%
Over 11.531.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches205
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT50.7%43.9%–57.5% CI
Draw FT33.2%27.1%–39.9% CI
Away FT16.1%11.7%–21.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals14.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.3%
Away36.1%