2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-03-04 · 12:00
11.5859.8%
X4.1622.7%
25.3817.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hamburg
WLWWDLWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Nurnberg
DWLLLWDDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.60
1.20
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.90
Against
5.90
10.80
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.60
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
3.30
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Hamburg attack

2.10goals per match
Nurnberg conceded1.70
Matchup

Nurnberg attack

0.60goals per match
Hamburg conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.90
10.80
Match total
10.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.70
Match total
4.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
23.60
Match total
26.60

Shots

16.60N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
6.30
On target
3.50
13%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches204
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.8%64.7%+5.0 pp
Draw22.7%15.7%-7.0 pp
Away17.5%19.6%+2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.560.8%
Over 3.535.8%
BTTS53.4%

Historical average

2.110.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-011.3%
2-110.8%
2-08.8%
1-18.8%
3-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.383.77
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=204.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.2%
Over 9.553.4%
Over 10.544.1%
Over 11.535.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches49
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.1%41.3%–68.1% CI
Draw FT24.5%14.6%–38.1% CI
Away FT20.4%11.5%–33.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.49

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.8%
2+ goals40.8%
3+ goals20.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.4%
Away42.9%