2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-03-03 · 17:30
12.4438.7%
X3.3528.2%
22.8633.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Paderborn
WWWWLWLLWW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
St Pauli
LLDLLLLDWW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
2.60
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
2.10
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
5.60N=10
3.60
Against
4.00
9.20
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.80
3.80
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Paderborn attack
2.60goals per matchSt Pauli conceded1.80Matchup
St Pauli attack
1.10goals per matchPaderborn conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.50
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.00
9.20
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.00
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.70N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
21.10
Match total
20.70
Shots
18.90N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
8.20
On target
3.90
14%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches267
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.7%42.7%+4.0 pp
Draw28.2%23.6%-4.6 pp
Away33.0%33.7%+0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.520.6%
BTTS52.8%
Historical average
1.34–1.18
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.9%
1-012.4%
1-211.6%
2-19.7%
0-17.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.24–4.54
Average total9.78
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=267.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.539.0%
Over 11.529.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches77
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.6%31.2%–52.7% CI
Draw FT29.9%20.8%–40.8% CI
Away FT28.6%19.7%–39.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.56
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.1%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals16.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home62.3%
Away46.8%