2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-03-03 · 17:30
12.4438.7%
X3.3528.2%
22.8633.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Paderborn
WWWWLWLLWW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
St Pauli
LLDLLLLDWW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
5.60N=10
3.60
Against
4.00
9.20
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.80
3.80
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Paderborn attack

2.60goals per match
St Pauli conceded1.80
Matchup

St Pauli attack

1.10goals per match
Paderborn conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.50
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.00
9.20
Match total
9.60
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.00
Match total
4.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
21.10
Match total
20.70

Shots

18.90N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
8.20
On target
3.90
14%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches267
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.7%42.7%+4.0 pp
Draw28.2%23.6%-4.6 pp
Away33.0%33.7%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.520.6%
BTTS52.8%

Historical average

1.341.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.9%
1-012.4%
1-211.6%
2-19.7%
0-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.244.54
Average total9.78

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=267.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.539.0%
Over 11.529.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches77
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.6%31.2%–52.7% CI
Draw FT29.9%20.8%–40.8% CI
Away FT28.6%19.7%–39.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.1%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals16.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.3%
Away46.8%