Serie A · 2024/25
2025-04-13 · 11:30
11.9947.8%
X3.5227.0%
23.7825.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Atalanta
WWWDLDDDLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Bologna
WLDWDDDLWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
2.90N=10
2.60
Against
2.60
8.10
Total
5.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.10goals per match
Bologna conceded1.30
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.30goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
2.60
Corners against
2.60
8.10
Match total
5.50
40%4/10
Over 8.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.10
Match total
3.30
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
21.70
Match total
32.10

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
5.10
On target
4.10
7%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches965
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.8%48.4%+0.6 pp
Draw27.0%26.8%-0.2 pp
Away25.2%24.8%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.524.8%
BTTS52.1%

Historical average

1.521.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.5%
1-111.6%
2-110.4%
2-08.8%
0-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.524.32
Average total9.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=965.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.9%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.538.4%
Over 11.529.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches326
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT43.3%38.0%–48.7% CI
Draw FT33.4%28.5%–38.7% CI
Away FT23.3%19.1%–28.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.8%
2+ goals38.0%
3+ goals16.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.1%
Away40.2%