2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-02-25 · 12:00
12.7134.8%
X3.7425.2%
22.3640.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Holstein Kiel
DWWLDWLDWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Paderborn
LWDLWDLLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.40
1.40
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
2.00
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.80
Against
6.00
11.60
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
3.20
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Holstein Kiel attack

1.80goals per match
Paderborn conceded1.40
Matchup

Paderborn attack

1.40goals per match
Holstein Kiel conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.00
11.60
Match total
10.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.40
Match total
5.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
22.40
Match total
21.00

Shots

16.20N=10
Shots
13.90N=10
5.60
On target
4.20
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches34
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.8%38.2%+3.4 pp
Draw25.2%26.5%+1.2 pp
Away40.0%35.3%-4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS52.9%

Historical average

1.501.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-214.7%
0-011.8%
2-08.8%
1-18.8%
1-05.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.944.50
Average total9.44

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=34.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.544.1%
Over 9.544.1%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.538.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.1%12.5%–46.5% CI
Draw FT39.1%22.2%–59.2% CI
Away FT34.8%18.8%–55.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.61

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.9%
2+ goals43.5%
3+ goals30.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.8%
Away60.9%