Serie A · 2024/25
2025-04-12 · 19:45
11.3371.3%
X4.9219.3%
210.059.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Juventus
WDDDWWWWLW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Lecce
LWLLWLWDLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.00
2.10
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.90
Against
5.60
9.10
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
1.60
2.90
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Juventus attack

1.80goals per match
Lecce conceded1.60
Matchup

Lecce attack

1.00goals per match
Juventus conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
2.50N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.60
9.10
Match total
8.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.40
Match total
4.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
24.60
Match total
24.40

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
5.50
On target
2.50
12%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.3%64.5%-6.8 pp
Draw19.3%22.6%+3.3 pp
Away9.4%12.9%+3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS51.6%

Historical average

1.940.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-012.9%
2-112.9%
3-012.9%
2-29.7%
1-09.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.352.16
Average total9.52

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.1%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.532.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Away FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.82

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.7%
Away45.5%