2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-02-19 · 12:30
11.8950.0%
X3.4427.5%
24.2022.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heidenheim
WDWDWWWWWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Nurnberg
LDWLLLWDDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
1.50
80%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.20
2.00
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.20
Against
5.80
8.80
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
3.90
Total goals
2.30
100%10/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Heidenheim attack

2.60goals per match
Nurnberg conceded1.50
Matchup

Nurnberg attack

0.80goals per match
Heidenheim conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.80
8.80
Match total
10.10
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.30
Match total
5.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
21.10
Match total
27.70

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
5.70
On target
3.70
17%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches528
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.0%49.2%-0.8 pp
Draw27.5%28.2%+0.7 pp
Away22.5%22.5%+0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.526.3%
BTTS52.1%

Historical average

1.601.01

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.6%
1-011.4%
2-19.7%
2-09.1%
0-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.554.06
Average total9.61

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=528.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.8%
Over 9.546.4%
Over 10.535.6%
Over 11.525.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches169
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.5%28.7%–43.0% CI
Draw FT38.5%31.5%–46.0% CI
Away FT26.0%20.0%–33.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.0%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.5%
Away42.6%