Serie A · 2024/25
2025-04-12 · 14:00
11.7454.6%
X3.6725.9%
24.8919.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Venezia
LDWDLDLDDL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Monza
DDLLLLLLLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
2.60
20%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.30
0.90
2H goals
2.10
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
3.70N=10
6.40
Against
6.80
10.70
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
2.60
1.50
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Venezia attack
0.60goals per matchMonza conceded2.60Matchup
Monza attack
0.80goals per matchVenezia conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
6.40
Corners against
6.80
10.70
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.80
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.00N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
27.80
Match total
26.90
Shots
10.00N=10
Shots
7.40N=10
3.40
On target
2.60
6%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches608
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.6%57.4%+2.8 pp
Draw25.9%25.2%-0.7 pp
Away19.4%17.4%-2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.522.5%
BTTS47.0%
Historical average
1.64–0.81
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.1%
2-113.2%
1-112.2%
2-011.2%
0-08.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.92–3.87
Average total9.79
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=608.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.7%
Over 9.550.3%
Over 10.539.5%
Over 11.529.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches205
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT43.9%37.3%–50.7% CI
Draw FT38.5%32.1%–45.4% CI
Away FT17.6%13.0%–23.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.36
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.1%
2+ goals41.5%
3+ goals13.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.0%
Away40.5%