Serie A · 2024/25
2025-04-11 · 19:45
14.0024.0%
X3.5626.9%
21.9549.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Udinese
LLLDDLWWWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Milan
DLWWLWLLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.50
1.40
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
5.50N=10
4.60
Against
3.70
9.70
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.50
1.40
Goals conceded
1.60
2.50
Total goals
3.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Udinese attack

1.10goals per match
Milan conceded1.60
Matchup

Milan attack

1.50goals per match
Udinese conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.10
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
4.60
Corners against
3.70
9.70
Match total
9.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.40
Match total
3.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
26.50
Match total
24.20

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
3.90
On target
5.30
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches338
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.0%20.7%-3.2 pp
Draw26.9%29.3%+2.4 pp
Away49.1%50.0%+0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.529.0%
BTTS54.7%

Historical average

0.981.63

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.9%
0-112.1%
1-210.4%
0-08.9%
0-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.725.55
Average total10.27

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=338.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.8%
Over 9.555.3%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.532.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches105
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.1%11.1%–25.5% CI
Draw FT44.8%35.6%–54.3% CI
Away FT38.1%29.4%–47.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals16.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.0%
Away60.0%