Serie A · 2024/25
2025-04-07 · 19:45
12.9232.6%
X3.0431.3%
22.6436.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bologna
WWLDWWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Napoli
DWWWWWDDLD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
1.70
1.00
Conceded
1.00
80%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.50
2.20
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.50N=10
2.30
Against
3.90
7.20
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.70
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
3.50
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Bologna attack

2.50goals per match
Napoli conceded1.00
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.70goals per match
Bologna conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
2.30
Corners against
3.90
7.20
Match total
8.40
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.30N=10
4.40
Match total
3.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
30.90
Match total
25.60

Shots

16.70N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
6.40
On target
3.70
15%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches442
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.6%31.4%-1.2 pp
Draw31.3%33.3%+1.9 pp
Away36.1%35.3%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.515.4%
BTTS45.5%

Historical average

1.001.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-014.9%
1-114.0%
0-111.3%
1-010.2%
2-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.434.50
Average total8.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=442.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.551.4%
Over 9.541.4%
Over 10.530.1%
Over 11.520.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches184
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.3%22.3%–35.2% CI
Draw FT48.9%41.8%–56.1% CI
Away FT22.8%17.4%–29.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.1%
2+ goals31.5%
3+ goals11.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.7%
Away40.8%