Serie A · 2024/25
2025-04-06 · 17:00
11.7155.8%
X3.9424.2%
24.7820.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Atalanta
WWWWDLDDDL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Lazio
WLWWLWWDWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
5.90N=10
2.30
Against
5.30
7.20
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
2.40
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.30goals per match
Lazio conceded1.30
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.20goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
2.30
Corners against
5.30
7.20
Match total
11.20
30%3/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.30
Match total
5.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
23.00
Match total
26.40

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
5.50
On target
5.40
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches591
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.8%59.2%+3.4 pp
Draw24.2%23.2%-1.0 pp
Away20.0%17.6%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.555.7%
Over 3.529.9%
BTTS55.0%

Historical average

1.860.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.9%
1-011.3%
1-110.5%
2-09.0%
3-06.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.023.98
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=591.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.540.8%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches167
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT50.3%42.8%–57.8% CI
Draw FT34.1%27.4%–41.6% CI
Away FT15.6%10.9%–21.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.4%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals22.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.7%
Away39.5%