Serie A · 2024/25
2025-04-06 · 14:00
12.5437.4%
X3.0731.0%
23.0131.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Empoli
LWDLLLDLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Cagliari
LDLLWDLDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
0.80
1.90
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.00
Against
5.40
9.10
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
0.80
1.90
Goals conceded
1.40
2.40
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Empoli attack

0.50goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.40
Matchup

Cagliari attack

0.80goals per match
Empoli conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.40
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.40
9.10
Match total
9.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
2.40N=10
2.60
Match total
3.80
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
26.30
Match total
24.20

Shots

8.20N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
2.70
On target
2.80
6%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches461
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.4%32.3%-5.1 pp
Draw31.0%35.4%+4.4 pp
Away31.6%32.3%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.518.2%
BTTS50.8%

Historical average

1.121.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.7%
0-011.5%
1-010.0%
0-19.3%
2-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.154.52
Average total9.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=460.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.0%
Over 9.548.0%
Over 10.538.0%
Over 11.528.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches161
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT21.1%15.5%–28.1% CI
Draw FT50.3%42.7%–57.9% CI
Away FT28.6%22.2%–36.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.1%
2+ goals34.8%
3+ goals9.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.2%
Away47.2%