Serie A · 2024/25
2025-04-06 · 11:30
12.3340.9%
X3.0631.1%
23.4127.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lecce
DDWLDLDLLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Venezia
DLLDLDLLDD
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.80
1.40
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.70
1.20
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.30
Against
5.70
10.80
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.60
2.10
Total goals
2.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lecce attack

0.70goals per match
Venezia conceded1.60
Matchup

Venezia attack

0.80goals per match
Lecce conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.70
10.80
Match total
9.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.40
Match total
3.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
24.80
Match total
26.80

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
7.70N=10
3.10
On target
2.50
6%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches824
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.9%43.2%+2.3 pp
Draw31.1%29.9%-1.3 pp
Away27.9%26.9%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.518.8%
BTTS50.6%

Historical average

1.291.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.9%
1-013.2%
2-010.2%
2-19.3%
0-09.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.014.25
Average total9.26

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=824.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.7%
Over 9.543.7%
Over 10.531.9%
Over 11.524.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches301
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT37.5%32.3%–43.1% CI
Draw FT39.5%34.2%–45.2% CI
Away FT22.9%18.5%–28.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.4%
2+ goals40.5%
3+ goals15.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.1%
Away44.2%