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Serie A · 2024/25
2025-04-05 · 19:45

Milan

vs

Fiorentina

11.9150.0%
X3.6526.2%
24.0123.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
DWDDDWDWLW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Fiorentina
WWWLDLWLLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.70
Against
4.80
10.80
Total
7.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
1.10
2.10
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Milan attack

1.30goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.10goals per match
Milan conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.80
10.80
Match total
7.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.00
Match total
4.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
22.90
Match total
25.50

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
4.60
On target
3.10
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches511
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.0%50.7%+0.7 pp
Draw26.2%26.0%-0.1 pp
Away23.8%23.3%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.530.3%
BTTS56.4%

Historical average

1.70–1.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.3%
1-010.0%
2-19.2%
2-08.8%
1-27.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.01–4.36
Average total10.37

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=511.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.1%
Over 9.556.6%
Over 10.545.8%
Over 11.535.0%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches140
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%28.9%–44.7% CI
Draw FT42.9%35.0%–51.1% CI
Away FT20.7%14.8%–28.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals17.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away45.7%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamMilanForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamFiorentinaForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareMilan vs FiorentinaCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionSerie ALeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsSerie A team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.