Serie A · 2024/25
2025-03-30 · 19:45
11.9648.5%
X3.5726.6%
23.8224.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
WLWLWWWDDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Milan
WDLWWLWLLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.50
0.80
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.90
1.10
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

8.70N=10
For
5.40N=10
3.10
Against
3.80
11.80
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.50
0.80
Goals conceded
1.40
1.90
Total goals
2.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.10goals per match
Milan conceded1.40
Matchup

Milan attack

1.50goals per match
Napoli conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.70N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
3.10
Corners against
3.80
11.80
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.50
Match total
3.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
19.80
Match total
26.00

Shots

17.20N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
4.70
On target
5.60
6%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches913
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.5%46.5%-1.9 pp
Draw26.6%26.7%+0.1 pp
Away24.9%26.7%+1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS50.3%

Historical average

1.501.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-011.8%
1-111.6%
2-19.3%
0-19.3%
2-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.754.34
Average total10.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=913.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.4%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.531.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches318
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT39.0%33.8%–44.5% CI
Draw FT34.3%29.3%–39.7% CI
Away FT26.7%22.2%–31.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.0%
2+ goals37.7%
3+ goals16.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.1%
Away44.7%