Serie A · 2024/25
2025-03-30 · 14:00
13.6126.4%
X3.5027.2%
22.0546.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Fiorentina
WWLLDWWLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Atalanta
WWWWDDWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
2.60
1.00
Conceded
0.30
60%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.80
Against
3.30
8.50
Total
7.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
2.60
1.00
Goals conceded
0.30
2.50
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Fiorentina attack
1.50goals per matchAtalanta conceded0.30Matchup
Atalanta attack
2.60goals per matchFiorentina conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
1.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.80
Corners against
3.30
8.50
Match total
7.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.10
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.40N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
26.60
Match total
21.00
Shots
10.80N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
4.10
On target
5.10
14%
Conversion
20%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches275
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.4%21.1%-5.3 pp
Draw27.2%32.7%+5.5 pp
Away46.4%46.2%-0.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.528.0%
BTTS54.5%
Historical average
1.09–1.55
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.4%
0-112.4%
0-012.0%
1-210.2%
2-17.6%
Comparable corner averages
4.51–5.59
Average total10.09
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=275.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.531.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches90
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.8%11.2%–26.9% CI
Draw FT46.7%36.7%–56.9% CI
Away FT35.6%26.4%–45.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.22
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal63.3%
2+ goals37.8%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home33.3%
Away54.4%