Serie A · 2024/25
2025-03-30 · 14:00
13.6126.4%
X3.5027.2%
22.0546.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
WWLLDWWLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Atalanta
WWWWDDWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
2.60
1.00
Conceded
0.30
60%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.80
Against
3.30
8.50
Total
7.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
2.60
1.00
Goals conceded
0.30
2.50
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.50goals per match
Atalanta conceded0.30
Matchup

Atalanta attack

2.60goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.80
Corners against
3.30
8.50
Match total
7.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
0%0/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.10
Match total
3.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
26.60
Match total
21.00

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
4.10
On target
5.10
14%
Conversion
20%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches275
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.4%21.1%-5.3 pp
Draw27.2%32.7%+5.5 pp
Away46.4%46.2%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.528.0%
BTTS54.5%

Historical average

1.091.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.4%
0-112.4%
0-012.0%
1-210.2%
2-17.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.515.59
Average total10.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=275.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches90
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.8%11.2%–26.9% CI
Draw FT46.7%36.7%–56.9% CI
Away FT35.6%26.4%–45.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.3%
2+ goals37.8%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away54.4%