Serie A · 2024/25
2025-03-30 · 11:30
11.6856.7%
X3.6426.2%
25.5617.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cagliari
LDWLLWLWLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Monza
LDDLLLLLLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.80
1.50
Conceded
2.50
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.10
Against
6.90
9.30
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded
2.50
2.70
Total goals
3.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Cagliari attack

1.20goals per match
Monza conceded2.50
Matchup

Monza attack

0.80goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.90
9.30
Match total
10.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.70N=10
2.40
Match total
3.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
24.50
Match total
26.60

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
6.60N=10
4.20
On target
2.60
9%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches448
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.7%58.0%+1.3 pp
Draw26.2%25.4%-0.7 pp
Away17.1%16.5%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.524.3%
BTTS49.1%

Historical average

1.680.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.3%
2-112.5%
1-111.8%
2-010.3%
0-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.973.63
Average total9.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=448.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.8%
Over 9.548.0%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.526.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches156
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT44.9%37.3%–52.7% CI
Draw FT35.3%28.2%–43.0% CI
Away FT19.9%14.4%–26.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.2%
2+ goals44.2%
3+ goals18.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.5%
Away42.3%