2. Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-05-15 · 14:30
11.4564.9%
X5.0918.5%
25.6816.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Darmstadt
WLDLDWDWLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Paderborn
DDWDLWLWWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.20
2.00
Conceded
1.10
80%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.40
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.20
Against
3.90
10.20
Total
7.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.20
2.00
Goals conceded
1.10
4.30
Total goals
2.30
100%10/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Darmstadt attack

2.30goals per match
Paderborn conceded1.10
Matchup

Paderborn attack

1.20goals per match
Darmstadt conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.60
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.20
Corners against
3.90
10.20
Match total
7.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.50
Match total
4.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
24.40
Match total
22.10

Shots

19.60N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
6.90
On target
4.20
12%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches19
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.9%63.2%-1.8 pp
Draw18.5%15.8%-2.7 pp
Away16.6%21.1%+4.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.568.4%
Over 3.552.6%
BTTS42.1%

Historical average

2.531.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-210.5%
6-010.5%
3-010.5%
1-010.5%
2-15.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.893.74
Average total10.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=19.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.557.9%
Over 10.547.4%
Over 11.536.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%34.1%–65.9% CI
Draw FT38.2%23.9%–55.0% CI
Away FT11.8%4.7%–26.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.6%
2+ goals44.1%
3+ goals23.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.8%
Away29.4%