Serie A · 2024/25
2025-03-29 · 19:45
14.8419.6%
X3.5227.0%
21.7853.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lecce
WDDWLDLDLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Roma
LLLLDDWWWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.10
Against
4.00
10.30
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
2.10
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lecce attack

0.80goals per match
Roma conceded1.50
Matchup

Roma attack

1.10goals per match
Lecce conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.00
10.30
Match total
9.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.40
Match total
4.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
26.60
Match total
25.50

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
3.30
On target
4.50
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches90
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.6%21.1%+1.5 pp
Draw27.0%37.8%+10.8 pp
Away53.4%41.1%-12.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.535.6%
Over 3.518.9%
BTTS47.8%

Historical average

0.871.37

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-120.0%
0-213.3%
0-012.2%
1-010.0%
1-26.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.505.73
Average total9.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=90.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.3%
Over 9.545.6%
Over 10.537.8%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.8%13.7%–43.2% CI
Draw FT48.4%32.0%–65.2% CI
Away FT25.8%13.7%–43.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.5%
2+ goals35.5%
3+ goals9.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.9%
Away41.9%