2. Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-05-08 · 12:30
112.367.7%
X7.3412.9%
21.1979.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Erzgebirge Aue
WLLLLLWLLD
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Werder Bremen
WLWWWWWLDW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
2.50
2.20
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
90%
50%
BTTS
100%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.40
1.70
2H goals
2.70
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.50N=10
For
5.60N=10
5.30
Against
4.20
8.80
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
2.50
2.20
Goals conceded
1.60
3.20
Total goals
4.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
100%10/10
Matchup

Erzgebirge Aue attack

1.00goals per match
Werder Bremen conceded1.60
Matchup

Werder Bremen attack

2.50goals per match
Erzgebirge Aue conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.90
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
90%9/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
5.30
Corners against
4.20
8.80
Match total
9.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.00
Match total
4.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
23.00
Match total
21.70

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
16.60N=10
4.90
On target
6.00
8%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home7.7%11.8%+4.1 pp
Draw12.9%11.8%-1.1 pp
Away79.5%76.5%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.576.5%
Over 3.570.6%
BTTS52.9%

Historical average

1.063.53

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-117.6%
1-417.6%
0-35.9%
0-25.9%
4-35.9%

Comparable corner averages

3.888.24
Average total12.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.588.2%
Over 9.582.4%
Over 10.570.6%
Over 11.564.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals7.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home23.1%
Away69.2%