2. Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-04-30 · 19:30
11.3370.8%
X5.4617.2%
27.8712.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Darmstadt
WWLDLDWDWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Erzgebirge Aue
DWLDLLDLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.30
2.00
Conceded
2.30
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.50
1.80
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.40
Against
6.60
9.60
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.30
2.00
Goals conceded
2.30
3.90
Total goals
3.60
100%10/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Darmstadt attack

1.90goals per match
Erzgebirge Aue conceded2.30
Matchup

Erzgebirge Aue attack

1.30goals per match
Darmstadt conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.30
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.40
Corners against
6.60
9.60
Match total
10.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.00
Match total
4.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
24.70
Match total
28.00

Shots

18.90N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
6.20
On target
3.60
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches43
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.8%79.1%+8.3 pp
Draw17.2%16.3%-1.0 pp
Away12.0%4.7%-7.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.537.2%
BTTS55.8%

Historical average

2.370.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.3%
2-014.0%
1-011.6%
1-19.3%
4-27.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.353.63
Average total9.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=43.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.558.1%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.532.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%41.7%–84.8% CI
Draw FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Away FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals26.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away46.7%