2. Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-04-29 · 17:30
11.9448.8%
X3.8624.5%
23.5526.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

St Pauli
WWWDDLWWDL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Nurnberg
LWLWWLWWLD
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.60
Against
6.20
9.50
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.60
3.20
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

St Pauli attack

1.90goals per match
Nurnberg conceded1.60
Matchup

Nurnberg attack

1.50goals per match
St Pauli conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.60
Corners against
6.20
9.50
Match total
11.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.60
Match total
3.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.30N=10
Committed
9.10N=10
20.60
Match total
20.70

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
6.20
On target
5.60
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.8%46.7%-2.1 pp
Draw24.5%33.3%+8.8 pp
Away26.7%20.0%-6.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS80.0%

Historical average

1.671.27

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-126.7%
1-013.3%
3-213.3%
1-213.3%
0-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.404.13
Average total11.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.586.7%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.546.7%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.6%35.4%–84.8% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.9%
Away36.4%