2. Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-04-29 · 17:30
11.9448.8%
X3.8624.5%
23.5526.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
St Pauli
WWWDDLWWDL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Nurnberg
LWLWWLWWLD
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.80
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.60
Against
6.20
9.50
Total
11.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.60
3.20
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
St Pauli attack
1.90goals per matchNurnberg conceded1.60Matchup
Nurnberg attack
1.50goals per matchSt Pauli conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.60
Corners against
6.20
9.50
Match total
11.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.60
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.30N=10
Committed
9.10N=10
20.60
Match total
20.70
Shots
15.10N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
6.20
On target
5.60
13%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.8%46.7%-2.1 pp
Draw24.5%33.3%+8.8 pp
Away26.7%20.0%-6.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS80.0%
Historical average
1.67–1.27
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-126.7%
1-013.3%
3-213.3%
1-213.3%
0-16.7%
Comparable corner averages
7.40–4.13
Average total11.53
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.586.7%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.546.7%
Over 11.540.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.6%35.4%–84.8% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.45
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home90.9%
Away36.4%