Serie A · 2024/25
2025-03-29 · 14:00
14.7320.1%
X3.5027.1%
21.8052.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Venezia
LLDWDLDLDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Bologna
WWLDWDDDLW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.40
1.00
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.00
0.90
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
2.80N=10
6.70
Against
3.10
11.40
Total
5.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
1.70
Total goals
2.70
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Venezia attack

0.70goals per match
Bologna conceded1.30
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.40goals per match
Venezia conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
6.70
Corners against
3.10
11.40
Match total
5.90
90%9/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.60
Match total
3.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
26.20
Match total
32.10

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
3.70
On target
4.10
7%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches77
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.1%22.1%+2.0 pp
Draw27.1%29.9%+2.7 pp
Away52.8%48.1%-4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.527.3%
BTTS51.9%

Historical average

1.051.70

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.9%
0-09.1%
0-39.1%
1-29.1%
0-29.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.945.79
Average total9.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=77.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.0%
Over 9.548.1%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT13.0%4.5%–32.1% CI
Draw FT60.9%40.8%–77.8% CI
Away FT26.1%12.5%–46.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.6%
2+ goals47.8%
3+ goals8.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.5%
Away56.5%