2. Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-04-17 · 12:30
12.9531.9%
X3.5626.4%
22.2641.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ingolstadt
DLDLWLDLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Paderborn
WWDDWDLWLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.80
1.70
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.60
1.20
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.10
Against
4.30
7.50
Total
7.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.80
1.70
Goals conceded
1.50
2.70
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Ingolstadt attack

1.00goals per match
Paderborn conceded1.50
Matchup

Paderborn attack

1.80goals per match
Ingolstadt conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.10
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.10
Corners against
4.30
7.50
Match total
7.50
30%3/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.40
Match total
4.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.10N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
28.60
Match total
22.40

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
3.10
On target
4.60
9%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches163
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.9%28.2%-3.7 pp
Draw26.4%34.4%+7.9 pp
Away41.7%37.4%-4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.533.7%
BTTS58.9%

Historical average

1.221.57

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.9%
2-211.7%
0-28.6%
0-08.6%
1-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.964.80
Average total9.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=163.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.8%
Over 9.554.6%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.528.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches46
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.7%12.3%–35.6% CI
Draw FT45.7%32.2%–59.8% CI
Away FT32.6%20.9%–47.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.6%
2+ goals43.5%
3+ goals15.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.1%
Away54.3%