2. Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-04-17 · 12:30
11.5162.4%
X4.3121.9%
26.0015.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heidenheim
WLWWWWWDWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Erzgebirge Aue
LDWLDLLDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
2.50
80%
Over 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.50
1.80
2H goals
2.20
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.20
Against
6.30
12.30
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
2.50
3.20
Total goals
3.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Heidenheim attack

2.10goals per match
Erzgebirge Aue conceded2.50
Matchup

Erzgebirge Aue attack

1.20goals per match
Heidenheim conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.20
Corners against
6.30
12.30
Match total
9.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.40
Match total
4.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
15.70N=10
20.00
Match total
28.90

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
4.60
On target
3.70
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches152
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.4%73.7%+11.3 pp
Draw21.9%18.4%-3.4 pp
Away15.7%7.9%-7.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.536.2%
BTTS43.4%

Historical average

2.320.69

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.2%
2-012.5%
3-010.5%
1-19.9%
2-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.073.68
Average total9.74

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=152.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.548.0%
Over 10.534.9%
Over 11.527.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.9%36.7%–68.5% CI
Draw FT38.2%23.9%–55.0% CI
Away FT8.8%3.0%–23.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.3%
2+ goals47.1%
3+ goals17.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.5%
Away35.3%