2. Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-04-17 · 12:30
11.5162.4%
X4.3121.9%
26.0015.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Heidenheim
WLWWWWWDWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Erzgebirge Aue
LDWLDLLDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
2.50
80%
Over 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.50
1.80
2H goals
2.20
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
7.10N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.20
Against
6.30
12.30
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
2.50
3.20
Total goals
3.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Heidenheim attack
2.10goals per matchErzgebirge Aue conceded2.50Matchup
Erzgebirge Aue attack
1.20goals per matchHeidenheim conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.20
Corners against
6.30
12.30
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.40
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.90N=10
Committed
15.70N=10
20.00
Match total
28.90
Shots
15.10N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
4.60
On target
3.70
14%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches152
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.4%73.7%+11.3 pp
Draw21.9%18.4%-3.4 pp
Away15.7%7.9%-7.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.536.2%
BTTS43.4%
Historical average
2.32–0.69
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.2%
2-012.5%
3-010.5%
1-19.9%
2-17.9%
Comparable corner averages
6.07–3.68
Average total9.74
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=152.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.548.0%
Over 10.534.9%
Over 11.527.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.9%36.7%–68.5% CI
Draw FT38.2%23.9%–55.0% CI
Away FT8.8%3.0%–23.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.59
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.3%
2+ goals47.1%
3+ goals17.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home76.5%
Away35.3%