2. Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-04-16 · 12:30
12.4438.6%
X3.4227.5%
22.7833.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Dresden
LLWWDLDLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Holstein Kiel
DDLLDWWLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.30
1.30
Conceded
1.80
30%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
90%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.70
Against
5.80
9.60
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.30
1.30
Goals conceded
1.80
2.20
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Dresden attack
0.90goals per matchHolstein Kiel conceded1.80Matchup
Holstein Kiel attack
1.30goals per matchDresden conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.80
9.60
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.10
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.80N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
21.20
Match total
21.30
Shots
13.10N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
4.50
On target
3.70
7%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches183
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.6%38.8%+0.2 pp
Draw27.5%25.1%-2.4 pp
Away33.9%36.1%+2.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.523.5%
BTTS54.6%
Historical average
1.29–1.28
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.7%
1-010.4%
0-29.3%
1-29.3%
2-18.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.32–4.69
Average total10.01
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=183.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.8%
Over 9.550.3%
Over 10.538.8%
Over 11.530.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches51
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.3%25.3%–51.0% CI
Draw FT29.4%18.7%–43.0% CI
Away FT33.3%22.0%–47.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.65
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.3%
2+ goals47.1%
3+ goals21.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.8%
Away52.9%