2. Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-04-16 · 12:30
12.4438.6%
X3.4227.5%
22.7833.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dresden
LLWWDLDLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Holstein Kiel
DDLLDWWLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.30
1.30
Conceded
1.80
30%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.70
Against
5.80
9.60
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.30
1.30
Goals conceded
1.80
2.20
Total goals
3.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Dresden attack

0.90goals per match
Holstein Kiel conceded1.80
Matchup

Holstein Kiel attack

1.30goals per match
Dresden conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.80
9.60
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.10
Match total
4.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
21.20
Match total
21.30

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
4.50
On target
3.70
7%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches183
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.6%38.8%+0.2 pp
Draw27.5%25.1%-2.4 pp
Away33.9%36.1%+2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.523.5%
BTTS54.6%

Historical average

1.291.28

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.7%
1-010.4%
0-29.3%
1-29.3%
2-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.324.69
Average total10.01

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=183.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.8%
Over 9.550.3%
Over 10.538.8%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches51
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.3%25.3%–51.0% CI
Draw FT29.4%18.7%–43.0% CI
Away FT33.3%22.0%–47.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.65

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.3%
2+ goals47.1%
3+ goals21.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.8%
Away52.9%