Serie A · 2024/25
2025-03-16 · 19:45
12.5537.3%
X3.3428.5%
22.7934.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Atalanta
WWWWWDLDDD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Inter
WWWWWWDLLD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
2.40
1.00
Conceded
0.60
50%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
4.70N=10
1.90
Against
5.30
7.00
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
2.40
1.00
Goals conceded
0.60
2.90
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Atalanta attack
1.90goals per matchInter conceded0.60Matchup
Inter attack
2.40goals per matchAtalanta conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
1.90
Corners against
5.30
7.00
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
1.20N=10
2.80
Match total
2.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.50N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
22.30
Match total
21.60
Shots
16.00N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
6.20
On target
4.60
12%
Conversion
18%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches708
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.3%37.3%-0.1 pp
Draw28.5%26.6%-2.0 pp
Away34.1%36.2%+2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.524.6%
BTTS55.4%
Historical average
1.32–1.29
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.5%
1-010.9%
1-210.7%
0-18.6%
2-18.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.09–4.73
Average total9.81
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=708.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.550.4%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.528.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches211
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.0%29.8%–42.7% CI
Draw FT36.0%29.8%–42.7% CI
Away FT28.0%22.3%–34.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.55
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.5%
2+ goals45.0%
3+ goals19.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.2%
Away53.1%