2. Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-04-05 · 17:30
11.3570.0%
X5.2118.1%
27.9411.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hamburg
DDWWWDWWLL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Erzgebirge Aue
LLDWLDLLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.40
1.00
Conceded
2.40
60%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
2.30
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.10
Against
6.00
11.40
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded
2.40
3.00
Total goals
3.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Hamburg attack

2.00goals per match
Erzgebirge Aue conceded2.40
Matchup

Erzgebirge Aue attack

1.40goals per match
Hamburg conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
5.10
Corners against
6.00
11.40
Match total
9.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.20
Match total
4.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
16.90N=10
21.50
Match total
29.70

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
6.50
On target
3.70
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches47
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.0%66.0%-4.0 pp
Draw18.1%21.3%+3.1 pp
Away11.9%12.8%+0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.538.3%
BTTS61.7%

Historical average

2.261.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-014.9%
2-114.9%
1-18.5%
2-28.5%
4-26.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.263.57
Average total9.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=47.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.7%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.534.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.8%36.0%–78.4% CI
Draw FT29.4%13.3%–53.1% CI
Away FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals70.6%
3+ goals29.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.5%
Away52.9%