2. Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-04-02 · 12:30
11.6856.2%
X3.9923.7%
24.6820.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hamburg
DDDWWWDWWL
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Paderborn
WWWDDWDLWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
2.00
1.00
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.80
1.70
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.40
Against
4.10
12.40
Total
7.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
2.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
3.10
Total goals
3.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Hamburg attack

2.10goals per match
Paderborn conceded1.50
Matchup

Paderborn attack

2.00goals per match
Hamburg conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.10
12.40
Match total
7.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.60
Match total
4.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
21.80
Match total
22.10

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
6.50
On target
5.10
14%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches98
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.2%60.2%+4.0 pp
Draw23.7%19.4%-4.3 pp
Away20.2%20.4%+0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.8%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.536.7%
BTTS61.2%

Historical average

1.991.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.3%
1-112.2%
2-010.2%
3-18.2%
1-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.724.34
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=98.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.3%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.539.8%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%28.0%–72.0% CI
Draw FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Away FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.88

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals68.8%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.3%
Away50.0%