Serie A · 2024/25
2025-03-16 · 17:00
13.4128.0%
X3.1630.2%
22.2841.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Fiorentina
WWWLLDWWLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Juventus
DWDDWDDLWW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.50
1.10
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.60
1.40
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.40
Against
6.30
8.60
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
2.80
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Fiorentina attack
1.70goals per matchJuventus conceded1.10Matchup
Juventus attack
1.50goals per matchFiorentina conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.40
Corners against
6.30
8.60
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.30
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.80N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
26.80
Match total
23.30
Shots
12.00N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
4.80
On target
5.40
14%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches412
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.0%26.7%-1.3 pp
Draw30.2%33.0%+2.8 pp
Away41.8%40.3%-1.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.520.4%
BTTS46.6%
Historical average
1.00–1.26
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.8%
0-112.1%
0-011.7%
1-09.7%
1-27.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.33–5.08
Average total9.41
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=412.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.2%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.536.9%
Over 11.527.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches131
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.8%11.4%–24.1% CI
Draw FT49.6%41.2%–58.1% CI
Away FT33.6%26.1%–42.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.04
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal63.4%
2+ goals28.2%
3+ goals8.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home32.1%
Away48.1%