Serie A · 2024/25
2025-03-16 · 17:00
13.4128.0%
X3.1630.2%
22.2841.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
WWWLLDWWLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Juventus
DWDDWDDLWW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.50
1.10
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.60
1.40
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.40
Against
6.30
8.60
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
2.80
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.70goals per match
Juventus conceded1.10
Matchup

Juventus attack

1.50goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.40
Corners against
6.30
8.60
Match total
9.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.30
Match total
3.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
26.80
Match total
23.30

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
4.80
On target
5.40
14%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches412
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.0%26.7%-1.3 pp
Draw30.2%33.0%+2.8 pp
Away41.8%40.3%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.520.4%
BTTS46.6%

Historical average

1.001.26

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.8%
0-112.1%
0-011.7%
1-09.7%
1-27.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.335.08
Average total9.41

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=412.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.2%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.536.9%
Over 11.527.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches131
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.8%11.4%–24.1% CI
Draw FT49.6%41.2%–58.1% CI
Away FT33.6%26.1%–42.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.04

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.4%
2+ goals28.2%
3+ goals8.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home32.1%
Away48.1%