2. Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-04-01 · 17:30
12.2841.6%
X3.4327.6%
23.0830.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ingolstadt
LDLDLWLDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Erzgebirge Aue
LLLDWLDLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.20
1.70
Conceded
2.40
60%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.70
Against
5.80
7.70
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.70
Goals conceded
2.40
2.50
Total goals
3.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Ingolstadt attack

0.80goals per match
Erzgebirge Aue conceded2.40
Matchup

Erzgebirge Aue attack

1.20goals per match
Ingolstadt conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.80
7.70
Match total
9.70
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.80
Match total
5.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.10N=10
Committed
16.50N=10
28.10
Match total
29.10

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
2.90
On target
3.60
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches352
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.6%43.5%+1.9 pp
Draw27.6%28.4%+0.8 pp
Away30.8%28.1%-2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.8%
BTTS54.3%

Historical average

1.511.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.2%
1-09.4%
2-19.1%
0-18.8%
2-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.704.45
Average total10.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=351.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.9%
Over 9.556.7%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches109
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.1%24.1%–41.4% CI
Draw FT40.4%31.6%–49.8% CI
Away FT27.5%20.0%–36.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.0%
2+ goals49.5%
3+ goals21.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.8%
Away53.2%