2. Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-03-20 · 12:30
11.8850.0%
X3.5926.2%
23.9623.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nurnberg
WDWLLWLLWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Dresden
LLLLLWLDDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
0.40
1.40
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
5.60N=10
6.10
Against
5.50
11.30
Total
11.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.40
1.40
Goals conceded
1.70
2.90
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nurnberg attack
1.50goals per matchDresden conceded1.70Matchup
Dresden attack
0.40goals per matchNurnberg conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
6.10
Corners against
5.50
11.30
Match total
11.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.30
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.60N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
22.10
Match total
22.30
Shots
14.20N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
5.30
On target
3.10
11%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches291
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.0%46.4%-3.6 pp
Draw26.2%30.6%+4.4 pp
Away23.8%23.0%-0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.527.8%
BTTS52.2%
Historical average
1.57–1.07
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.1%
0-010.0%
1-09.6%
2-18.9%
0-17.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.85–4.31
Average total10.16
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=291.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.554.6%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.533.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches91
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.2%26.1%–45.4% CI
Draw FT46.2%36.3%–56.3% CI
Away FT18.7%12.0%–27.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.26
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.1%
2+ goals37.4%
3+ goals14.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.7%
Away38.5%