Serie A · 2024/25
2025-03-16 · 15:00
11.5561.4%
X4.1123.2%
26.1815.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Roma
WLLWWWWDWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Cagliari
LLDLLWDLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
2.40
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.70N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.50
Against
4.80
7.20
Total
8.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
3.30
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Roma attack
2.40goals per matchCagliari conceded1.50Matchup
Cagliari attack
0.80goals per matchRoma conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.80
7.20
Match total
8.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.60
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.40N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
24.40
Match total
24.80
Shots
14.10N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
5.10
On target
2.30
17%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches354
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.4%61.9%+0.4 pp
Draw23.2%23.4%+0.3 pp
Away15.4%14.7%-0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.529.1%
BTTS46.9%
Historical average
1.90–0.82
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.8%
1-112.1%
2-011.3%
2-19.3%
3-07.9%
Comparable corner averages
6.46–3.64
Average total10.10
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=353.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.0%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.544.8%
Over 11.535.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches107
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.3%43.0%–61.6% CI
Draw FT26.2%18.8%–35.2% CI
Away FT21.5%14.8%–30.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.48
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.0%
2+ goals43.0%
3+ goals16.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home67.3%
Away41.1%