Serie A · 2024/25
2025-03-16 · 15:00
11.5561.4%
X4.1123.2%
26.1815.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Roma
WLLWWWWDWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Cagliari
LLDLLWDLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.50
Against
4.80
7.20
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
3.30
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Roma attack

2.40goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.50
Matchup

Cagliari attack

0.80goals per match
Roma conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.80
7.20
Match total
8.50
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.60
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
24.40
Match total
24.80

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
5.10
On target
2.30
17%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches354
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.4%61.9%+0.4 pp
Draw23.2%23.4%+0.3 pp
Away15.4%14.7%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.529.1%
BTTS46.9%

Historical average

1.900.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.8%
1-112.1%
2-011.3%
2-19.3%
3-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.463.64
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=353.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.0%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.544.8%
Over 11.535.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches107
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.3%43.0%–61.6% CI
Draw FT26.2%18.8%–35.2% CI
Away FT21.5%14.8%–30.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.0%
2+ goals43.0%
3+ goals16.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home67.3%
Away41.1%