2. Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-03-18 · 17:30
12.5836.6%
X3.5526.6%
22.5636.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Erzgebirge Aue
LDWWLLLLLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Karlsruhe
LWDLDLDLWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.40
1.90
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.30N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.50
Against
5.40
8.80
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.40
1.90
Goals conceded
1.90
2.90
Total goals
3.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Erzgebirge Aue attack

1.00goals per match
Karlsruhe conceded1.90
Matchup

Karlsruhe attack

1.40goals per match
Erzgebirge Aue conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.50
Corners against
5.40
8.80
Match total
10.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.60
Match total
2.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
22.30
Match total
20.40

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
5.00
On target
3.40
7%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches135
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.6%47.4%+10.8 pp
Draw26.6%21.5%-5.1 pp
Away36.9%31.1%-5.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.6%
BTTS60.7%

Historical average

1.571.30

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.1%
1-010.4%
1-19.6%
3-18.1%
1-28.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.985.70
Average total10.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=135.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.9%
Over 9.562.2%
Over 10.548.9%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.0%30.7%–60.2% CI
Draw FT32.5%20.1%–48.0% CI
Away FT22.5%12.3%–37.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.77

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.0%
Away50.0%