2. Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-03-12 · 12:30
13.3628.0%
X3.5526.5%
22.0745.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Dresden
LWLLWWDLDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
St Pauli
WWDLWDLLWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.90
1.30
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.90
1.20
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.70
Against
5.50
9.90
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.90
2.30
Total goals
3.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Dresden attack
1.00goals per matchSt Pauli conceded1.90Matchup
St Pauli attack
1.90goals per matchDresden conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.90
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.50
9.90
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.30
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.90N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
20.40
Match total
23.60
Shots
13.50N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
5.20
On target
5.30
7%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches115
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.0%26.1%-1.9 pp
Draw26.5%24.3%-2.2 pp
Away45.5%49.6%+4.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.567.0%
Over 3.546.1%
BTTS70.4%
Historical average
1.43–1.94
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-110.4%
1-28.7%
2-17.8%
1-37.8%
0-07.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.47–5.12
Average total9.59
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=115.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.550.4%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.527.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.6%11.4%–39.8% CI
Draw FT41.9%26.4%–59.2% CI
Away FT35.5%21.1%–53.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.87
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.2%
2+ goals61.3%
3+ goals32.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.1%
Away61.3%