Serie A · 2024/25
2025-03-16 · 14:00
12.3939.9%
X3.1230.6%
23.2329.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bologna
WWWLDWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Lazio
WWLWWLWWDW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.70
1.00
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
6.30N=10
2.30
Against
4.90
7.40
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.70
1.00
Goals conceded
0.90
3.10
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Bologna attack

2.10goals per match
Lazio conceded0.90
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.70goals per match
Bologna conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
2.30
Corners against
4.90
7.40
Match total
11.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.30
Match total
5.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
29.80
Match total
26.20

Shots

17.40N=10
Shots
14.30N=10
6.10
On target
5.90
12%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches987
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.9%37.8%-2.1 pp
Draw30.6%32.4%+1.9 pp
Away29.5%29.8%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.520.5%
BTTS46.9%

Historical average

1.201.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.3%
0-012.1%
1-010.6%
0-19.2%
2-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.124.36
Average total9.48

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=987.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.6%
Over 9.547.9%
Over 10.535.1%
Over 11.524.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches373
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT24.7%20.6%–29.3% CI
Draw FT48.5%43.5%–53.6% CI
Away FT26.8%22.6%–31.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.1%
2+ goals38.9%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.1%
Away46.4%