Serie A · 2024/25
2025-03-16 · 11:30
16.5714.5%
X4.1223.1%
21.5262.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Venezia
WLLDWDLDLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Napoli
WDWWWWWDDL
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.90
1.20
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.70
1.10
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.80N=10
6.50
Against
4.10
11.10
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.00
2.20
Total goals
2.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Venezia attack

1.00goals per match
Napoli conceded1.00
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.90goals per match
Venezia conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
6.50
Corners against
4.10
11.10
Match total
7.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.30N=10
4.00
Match total
3.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
25.70
Match total
24.90

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
4.00
On target
3.40
9%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches60
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.5%11.7%-2.8 pp
Draw23.1%26.7%+3.6 pp
Away62.5%61.7%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.3%
BTTS43.3%

Historical average

0.681.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.3%
0-111.7%
0-211.7%
0-310.0%
1-210.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.435.32
Average total8.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=60.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.546.7%
Over 9.533.3%
Over 10.525.0%
Over 11.518.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT11.1%3.1%–32.8% CI
Draw FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI
Away FT55.6%33.7%–75.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals27.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home27.8%
Away61.1%