Serie A · 2024/25
2025-03-15 · 17:00
11.8053.1%
X3.7925.2%
24.4121.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
LDWDDDWDWL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Como
LLLDDLDLWL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.80
1.00
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.30
Against
4.20
10.90
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
2.00
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Milan attack

1.10goals per match
Como conceded1.50
Matchup

Como attack

0.80goals per match
Milan conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.20
10.90
Match total
7.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.50
Match total
5.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
22.10
Match total
27.50

Shots

16.30N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
4.80
On target
3.80
7%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches387
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.1%59.2%+6.1 pp
Draw25.2%23.5%-1.7 pp
Away21.7%17.3%-4.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.531.8%
BTTS57.6%

Historical average

1.900.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.4%
2-011.6%
2-111.1%
1-010.1%
3-17.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.094.07
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=387.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.540.8%
Over 11.532.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches96
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT49.0%39.2%–58.8% CI
Draw FT33.3%24.7%–43.2% CI
Away FT17.7%11.4%–26.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals57.3%
3+ goals22.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.8%
Away44.8%