Serie A · 2024/25
2025-03-15 · 17:00
11.8053.1%
X3.7925.2%
24.4121.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Milan
LDWDDDWDWL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Como
LLLDDLDLWL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.80
1.00
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
6.60N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.30
Against
4.20
10.90
Total
7.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
2.00
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Milan attack
1.10goals per matchComo conceded1.50Matchup
Como attack
0.80goals per matchMilan conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.20
10.90
Match total
7.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.50
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.60N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
22.10
Match total
27.50
Shots
16.30N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
4.80
On target
3.80
7%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches387
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.1%59.2%+6.1 pp
Draw25.2%23.5%-1.7 pp
Away21.7%17.3%-4.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.531.8%
BTTS57.6%
Historical average
1.90–0.99
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.4%
2-011.6%
2-111.1%
1-010.1%
3-17.0%
Comparable corner averages
6.09–4.07
Average total10.16
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=387.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.540.8%
Over 11.532.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches96
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT49.0%39.2%–58.8% CI
Draw FT33.3%24.7%–43.2% CI
Away FT17.7%11.4%–26.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.73
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals57.3%
3+ goals22.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home68.8%
Away44.8%