Serie A · 2024/25
2025-03-14 · 19:45
12.1145.3%
X2.9932.0%
24.2222.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Genoa
DLDDDLWWWD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Lecce
LLWLLWLWDL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
0.90
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
2.70N=10
6.00
Against
6.90
11.00
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
2.10
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.20goals per match
Lecce conceded1.50
Matchup

Lecce attack

0.90goals per match
Genoa conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
6.00
Corners against
6.90
11.00
Match total
9.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.00
Match total
4.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
25.90
Match total
24.20

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
3.80
On target
2.50
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches92
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.3%58.7%+13.4 pp
Draw32.0%29.3%-2.6 pp
Away22.7%12.0%-10.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.534.8%
Over 3.515.2%
BTTS41.3%

Historical average

1.410.61

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-020.7%
1-114.1%
2-112.0%
0-012.0%
2-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.234.22
Average total9.45

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=92.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.533.7%
Over 11.521.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.6%33.4%–62.3% CI
Draw FT38.1%25.0%–53.2% CI
Away FT14.3%6.7%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.8%
2+ goals31.0%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.5%
Away33.3%