Serie A · 2024/25
2025-03-09 · 19:45
12.5237.7%
X3.2529.3%
22.8833.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Juventus
WDWDDDWWWW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Atalanta
WWWWWDDWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
2.40
0.90
Conceded
0.30
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.40
2.00
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.80
Against
3.30
10.10
Total
7.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
2.40
0.90
Goals conceded
0.30
2.90
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Juventus attack
2.00goals per matchAtalanta conceded0.30Matchup
Atalanta attack
2.40goals per matchJuventus conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
1.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.80
Corners against
3.30
10.10
Match total
7.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.50
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.50N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
23.60
Match total
20.50
Shots
17.10N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
5.60
On target
4.90
12%
Conversion
19%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches687
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.7%36.0%-1.8 pp
Draw29.3%28.4%-0.9 pp
Away33.0%35.7%+2.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.523.4%
BTTS53.4%
Historical average
1.28–1.24
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.8%
0-110.3%
1-010.2%
1-29.6%
2-17.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.11–4.62
Average total9.73
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=687.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.2%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.539.0%
Over 11.526.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches218
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.2%25.4%–37.6% CI
Draw FT37.6%31.5%–44.2% CI
Away FT31.2%25.4%–37.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.45
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.5%
2+ goals43.1%
3+ goals17.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.8%
Away54.1%