Serie A · 2024/25
2025-03-09 · 17:00
13.9024.4%
X3.4427.7%
21.9947.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Empoli
LLWDLLLDLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Roma
DLLLLDDWWW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
1.10
1.90
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.80
Against
4.00
9.50
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
1.10
1.90
Goals conceded
1.60
2.40
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Empoli attack

0.50goals per match
Roma conceded1.60
Matchup

Roma attack

1.10goals per match
Empoli conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.00
9.50
Match total
8.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.00
Match total
4.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
26.80
Match total
26.20

Shots

9.00N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
3.00
On target
4.20
6%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches416
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.4%22.8%-1.6 pp
Draw27.7%24.8%-2.9 pp
Away47.9%52.4%+4.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.525.5%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

0.991.66

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.3%
0-111.8%
1-29.9%
0-29.6%
1-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.415.47
Average total9.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=416.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.2%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.528.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches120
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.8%18.8%–34.3% CI
Draw FT35.0%27.1%–43.9% CI
Away FT39.2%30.9%–48.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.5%
2+ goals35.8%
3+ goals11.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.2%
Away55.8%