Serie A · 2024/25
2025-03-09 · 14:00
11.5760.8%
X3.9923.9%
26.2215.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
WWLWLWWWDD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Fiorentina
WWWWLDLWLL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.60
0.80
Conceded
0.90
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

8.70N=10
For
2.70N=10
2.80
Against
4.50
11.50
Total
7.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.60
0.80
Goals conceded
0.90
2.00
Total goals
2.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.20goals per match
Fiorentina conceded0.90
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.60goals per match
Napoli conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.70N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
2.80
Corners against
4.50
11.50
Match total
7.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
2.30N=10
2.40
Match total
4.80
30%3/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
20.00
Match total
26.20

Shots

16.20N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.20
On target
4.00
7%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches256
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.8%66.8%+6.0 pp
Draw23.9%21.9%-2.0 pp
Away15.3%11.3%-4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.523.0%
BTTS40.2%

Historical average

1.790.66

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-018.4%
2-011.3%
2-110.9%
3-010.5%
0-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.963.53
Average total9.49

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=255.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.549.8%
Over 10.535.3%
Over 11.524.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches92
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.5%46.3%–66.2% CI
Draw FT32.6%23.9%–42.7% CI
Away FT10.9%6.0%–18.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.2%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals16.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.5%
Away27.2%